Emirates Match Simulator

SK, AK, PG, SD and AM on Faldo or Majlis, built from each player's posted Emirates rounds. Pick two teams for four-ball better-ball match play, or switch to singles or stroke play for everyone ticked.

Team A
v
Team B

Add a player

Preview

Paste a history and press Read rounds. Only full 18-hole rounds on Faldo or Majlis feed the simulation; every round counts toward the index.

Doubles match · simulated series
Single match
· ·
· halved ·
Series winner
· ·
Team A · tied · Team B
Most likely score
Team A points in the series
Every possible pairing · single matchFairest first. Tap a row to load it as the match above. Pool is the ticked players.
Team ATeam BStrokes rec'dA winsHalvedB wins
Who tops the series · simulated series
Head to head · single round
One simulated series

Model: each player's expected gross score is course rating + differential × slope ÷ 113. Each round has a day-to-day form swing plus hole-by-hole randomness, scaled so the round-to-round spread matches the SD. All active players play the same round, so every match in a round shares each player's score. Doubles is four-ball better ball: each player plays their own ball, the team's best net score counts on each hole. Handicap strokes follow WHS: course handicap = index × slope ÷ 113 + (course rating − par), multiplied by the allowance, with strokes given off the lowest player in the game (85% is the WHS recommendation for four-ball, 90% for singles) (indexes: SK 5.3, AK 1.8, PG 0.8, SD +5.2, AM +1.3, all editable; added players use the index entered or the one worked out from their last 20 rounds). In match play, strokes between two players are the difference in strokes received, given on a generic stroke index; in stroke play, each player's strokes come off their gross. Series points: match play counts 1 per match won and ½ per half; stroke play counts 1 for the low round each day, split on ties. Data: each player's last 20 full 18-hole rounds on Faldo or Majlis, which for SK runs 5/15–9/26, SD 7/04–9/29 and AM 6/05–9/11; PG 5/02–9/26; AK has 19 such rounds. "This course only" uses up to each player's last 18 rounds on that course, falling back to all Emirates rounds when a player has fewer than 3 there. Players added through the form are shared with everyone who opens the page. PG has 11 Faldo rounds, so PG's Faldo numbers are the least certain.